Monday, December 15, 2008

Week 15 Results and Playoff Results

Very subpar Week 15 based on my high standards:

All Week 15 Plays Combined went
5-5-1 (50%), and drops me now to 23-10-1 (70%) on all plays released the last 3 weeks.
  • 2-3-1 Personal/Weather Plays brings the YTD mark to 36-18-2 (67%) YTD
  • 1-1 Overs Computer System Plays brings the YTD mark to 10-4 (71%) YTD and 31-5 (86%) the L2 Years
  • 2-1 Unders Computer System Plays brings the YTD mark to 29-13-2 (69%) YTD
  • 1-2 ATS Computer System Plays brings the YTD mark to 42-22-1 (66%) YTD

(There was overlap in the plays which accounts for the individual plays not totaling to 5-5-1. For instance, my 2 ATS Computer System Losses (Bal and NYG) both became personal plays, so those losses were counted twice, once in my ATS Computer System and once on my Personal/Weather plays.)

This was the first sub-.500 week in personal plays since Week 7, when I went 1-2 in personal plays. I rebounded in the next two weeks, Weeks 8 and 9, going 4-1-2 (80%) in personal plays, and will be working as hard as always to have the same rebound results to close out the regular season in Weeks 16 and 17.


I was asked how I have performed in the POSTSEASON, and since it is getting close, I thought I would share my results.

Playoff Summary, Last 3 Years

07-08: 10-4 (71%)
06-07: 6-2 (75%)
05-06: 16-2 (89%)
- note, I played most every side/total for every game as it was for a Contest, see below.

Last 3 Years Combined: 32-8 (80%)


Playoff Detail
07-08:
  • Wild Card round I went 5-1
  • Divisional round I went 4-2
  • Conference Championship round I went 1-0
  • Superbowl I went 0-1

Therefore in 07-08, I went 10-4 overall (71%), and my system did pretty well also, going 3-0 in system overs. I posted all of these plays on message boards for verification, but did not do any detailed writeups for them.

06-07:
  • Wild Card round I went 4-0 (Link to one of my writeups)
  • Divisional round I went 0-2
  • Conference Championship round I went 1-0 and in addition, issued a very large play prior to the game on Ind to win the SB at +150 odds (Link to writeup)
  • Superbowl, therefore, I had Ind+150 ML very large, 1-0

Therefore in 06-07, I went 6-2 overall (75%). Note that I did advise putting a very small amount on Chi+ points as a slight middle opportunity for the SB, but a much smaller amount than was on Ind+150 ML. I posted all of these plays on message boards for verification, and made two writeups, which are linked to above.


05-06:

The other verifiable postseason results were in 05-06. In the 2006 postseason, I participated in the Wagerline Playoff Competition. Out of 5,900 contestants, I finished in 1st Place. Playing sides and totals for most games, I finished 16-2 (89%) and +6630 Units. (Link to Verify)

I was 15-1 on sides and totals up until the Superbowl, where I liked the Steelers and the Under. I played the Steelers but waited to play the total until I saw that I could guarantee the #1 position before the game even started if I made the same totals play as the #2 participant, which was the Over. Therefore, I took the Over. The Steelers won SU and ATS, and the game went Under. As a result, instead of finishing 17-1 (94%) I went 16-2 (89%), but enjoyed the game much more knowing I was already crowned the Champion. Looking at all wagerline contest results in their Hall Of Fame from 1999 thru present, no one has won one of the Wagerline contests (in any sport) with a higher win % than 89%.

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