Tuesday, September 23, 2008

2008 Week 4

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I am glad we stayed away on MNF: numbers/trends pointed to NYJ, my gambling instincts and gut pointed to SD. I take all of that into account when making plays, and it's for that reason I decided to look ahead rather than force a play.

It's at times like this, especially on MNF, where a lot of guys feel forced to make a play, and unfortunately forcing a play can get ugly, especially after a rough weekend.

I always look at it from the perspective that each and every game is 1 our of 256 regular season games. If you can capitalize on a game, great. If not, move on and cap the next one. There are times when MNF games are great plays due to the high number of wagers and the way Vegas sets their lines in anticipation of the bets placed. So sometimes it is worth it to play on MNF even if the value is close to being there (but not quite 100%), but the public's reaction to the line and the line movement is assisting in your play. You have to pick your spots.

On to week 4 and looking to produce solid results.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

You are da man, bol this week.

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the insight. You have a great writing style, and grassroots attitude.

Anonymous said...

hey loser...i signed up for email...what gives?

Anonymous said...

oops sorry i left the last comment...just checked my email and it says it was sent out at 8:06AM this morning.

disregard previous comment